## Problem
The logic in Service::optimize_all would sometimes choose to migrate a
tenant to a secondary location that was only recently created, resulting
in Reconciler::live_migrate hitting its 5 minute timeout warming up the
location, and proceeding to attach a tenant to a location that doesn't
have a warm enough local set of layer files for good performance.
Closes: #7532
## Summary of changes
- Add a pageserver API for checking download progress of a secondary
location
- During `optimize_all`, connect to pageservers of candidate
optimization secondary locations, and check they are warm.
- During shard split, do heatmap uploads and start secondary downloads,
so that the new shards' secondary locations start downloading ASAP,
rather than waiting minutes for background downloads to kick in.
I have intentionally not implemented this by continuously reading the
status of locations, to avoid dealing with the scale challenge of
efficiently polling & updating 10k-100k locations status. If we
implement that in the future, then this code can be simplified to act
based on latest state of a location rather than fetching it inline
during optimize_all.